Strategic Thinking and Decision Making Training Course

Duration 10 days 20 modules · 65 contact hours
Level Advanced Certificate on completion
Who attends Executive Directors, Business Unit Heads and others
Fee from USD 2,200 KSh 190,000 for Kenyan organisations
Where 52 cities + online See dates by city
Next start 16 Nov 2026 Course code SD-EM-139

Before you join: Participants should have substantial management experience and current responsibility for budgets, business performance, programmes, policy, operations or major initiatives.

Dates & prices

Two start dates a month in every city, and live online on weekdays or weekends. Fees are per participant; classroom fees include tuition, materials, lunch and refreshments, and the certificate.

Suggest a date or city

Showing the next six months. Later dates, other cities and private deliveries for your team are available on request.

Course overview

Senior leaders are expected to make consequential choices with incomplete information, competing stakeholder demands and limited capital. The difficulty is not generating ideas; it is diagnosing the real strategic issue, distinguishing evidence from assumption, comparing credible options and committing to a course of action that can be executed and reviewed. This course addresses decisions such as market entry, investment prioritisation, service redesign, portfolio change, turnaround action and competitive response.

Participants apply structured strategic analysis to their own business challenge or a realistic case. They assess competitive forces, customer demand, stakeholder interests and internal capabilities; frame strategic questions; generate options; test economics, risks and scenarios; and make decisions using explicit criteria. The course also covers cognitive bias, decision governance, capital allocation, innovation choices, strategic execution and executive communication.

Teaching combines concise faculty briefings with cases, group analysis, decision simulations, facilitated challenge and individual application planning. Participants build a Strategic Decision Proposal throughout the programme, beginning with a defined strategic issue and progressing through diagnosis, options, financial logic, risk assessment, recommendation and implementation measures. They leave with a reviewed proposal, reusable templates and a certificate of completion.

The course is designed for experienced managers and leaders who influence enterprise, business-unit or functional strategy. It is particularly relevant where decisions have material commercial, operational, regulatory, public-service or reputational consequences and require agreement across functions.

What you will be able to do

  • Diagnose strategic issues using PESTLE, Five Forces, stakeholder analysis and capability assessment
  • Frame decision questions using issue trees, hypotheses, constraints and measurable success criteria
  • Develop strategic options using Playing-to-Win choices, Ansoff analysis and business model patterns
  • Evaluate investment alternatives using unit economics, discounted cash flow, NPV and sensitivity analysis
  • Apply multi-criteria decision analysis, decision trees and real-options logic to uncertain choices
  • Test strategic recommendations through scenario planning, risk appetite and pre-mortem analysis
  • Translate strategic choices into scorecards, initiative charters, governance arrangements and review cadences
  • Produce and present a board-ready Strategic Decision Proposal with evidence, options and implementation plan

Benefits of attending

For you

  • Build a defensible strategic recommendation for a current leadership decision
  • Challenge executive assumptions using evidence, scenarios and structured dissent
  • Assess commercial cases beyond headline revenue and payback claims
  • Present strategic choices clearly to boards, sponsors and investment committees
  • Create a personal decision journal for improving judgment over time

For your organisation

  • Better prioritisation of capital, talent and management attention
  • More transparent decision criteria and documented strategic trade-offs
  • Earlier identification of competitive, regulatory and execution risks
  • Stronger business cases with tested assumptions and value drivers
  • Clearer links between strategy, initiatives, performance measures and governance

Course modules

20 modules over 10 days

Participants can distinguish strategic choices from operational decisions and establish an appropriate decision architecture.

  • Strategic thinking distinguished from operational planning, forecasting and annual budgeting
  • Decision rights mapped using RAPID for executive-level strategic choices
  • Strategic intent translated into testable choices about where to compete
  • Corporate, business-unit and functional strategy boundaries clarified before analysis
  • Value creation logic linked to customers, capabilities and economic profit
  • Personal decision habits diagnosed through cognitive bias and assumption mapping

Participants can assess external conditions and competitive dynamics relevant to a strategic decision.

  • PESTLE analysis separates structural trends from temporary market noise
  • Porter's Five Forces tests industry profitability, power and entry barriers
  • Competitor profiles compare objectives, capabilities, commitments and likely responses
  • Strategic group maps reveal mobility barriers and contested profit pools
  • Market signals assessed for reliability, timing, relevance and decision impact
  • Uncertainty logs distinguish known risks from critical unknowns

Participants can incorporate stakeholder, customer and system effects into strategic diagnosis.

  • Stakeholder salience analysis ranks power, legitimacy and urgency
  • Customer jobs-to-be-done expose demand drivers beyond stated preferences
  • Value chain analysis identifies cost drivers, bottlenecks and control points
  • Regulatory, political and community interests incorporated into strategic assumptions
  • Materiality matrices prioritise stakeholder issues affecting strategy execution
  • System maps trace feedback loops, delays and unintended consequences

Participants can assess whether internal resources and capabilities support a sustainable strategic position.

  • VRIO analysis tests resources for value, rarity, imitability and organisation
  • Capability maps connect critical activities, assets, skills and governance
  • Benchmarking separates performance gaps from structurally different business models
  • Core competence tests prevent diversification based on familiar but weak assets
  • Activity-system maps show reinforcing choices and trade-offs
  • Resource allocation patterns reveal the strategy currently being funded

Participants can convert ambiguous business challenges into evidence-based strategic problem statements.

  • SWOT synthesis converts evidence into a limited set of strategic issues
  • Problem statements separate symptoms, causes, constraints and decision requirements
  • Issue trees decompose ambiguous challenges into mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive branches
  • Hypothesis-driven analysis specifies evidence needed before committing resources
  • Root-cause analysis uses five whys and fishbone diagrams appropriately
  • Strategic questions framed with scope, time horizon and success criteria

Participants can create distinct strategic options with explicit choices, trade-offs and requirements.

  • Playing-to-Win choices define aspiration, arena, advantage and capabilities
  • Ansoff matrix assesses growth routes and associated uncertainty
  • Strategic options generated through adjacency mapping and business model patterns
  • Non-negotiable constraints screened before detailed option development begins
  • Trade-offs articulated between growth, resilience, service levels and returns
  • Option narratives state customer value, economics, risks and required changes

Participants can quantify the financial implications of strategic options and investment choices.

  • Unit economics model contribution, fixed costs, capacity and break-even points
  • Discounted cash flow estimates option value using explicit assumptions
  • Capital allocation compares NPV, IRR, payback and strategic fit
  • Driver-based forecasts connect volumes, prices, costs and working capital
  • Sensitivity tables expose value drivers and threshold conditions
  • Benefits cases distinguish cashable savings, avoided costs and revenue potential

Participants can compare strategic options using transparent criteria, probabilities and contingent choices.

  • Weighted decision matrices make criteria, scores and weights explicit
  • Multi-criteria decision analysis tests rankings against stakeholder priorities
  • Expected value calculations combine probabilities, outcomes and downside exposure
  • Decision trees sequence contingent strategic choices under uncertainty
  • Real-options logic values staged commitments, learning and exit rights
  • Pre-mortems identify likely failure modes before irreversible commitments

Participants can improve decision quality by identifying bias and creating effective challenge processes.

  • Confirmation bias, anchoring and availability assessed in executive judgments
  • Red teams challenge evidence, assumptions and preferred recommendations
  • Dialectical inquiry constructs competing cases for consequential decisions
  • Reference class forecasting counters optimism bias with comparable outcomes
  • Decision journals record rationale, probabilities, assumptions and review dates
  • Escalation-of-commitment signals trigger structured reconsideration of failing initiatives

Participants can test strategies against plausible futures and define appropriate contingent actions.

  • Scenario planning develops distinct futures from critical uncertainties
  • Two-by-two scenario matrices test strategies against plausible conditions
  • Signposts specify observable indicators for each scenario trajectory
  • Wind-tunnelling exposes option vulnerabilities across alternative future states
  • Contingency plans assign triggers, owners, actions and resource thresholds
  • Strategic resilience balances efficiency, redundancy, flexibility and recovery capacity

Participants can assess strategic risk exposures and align choices with organisational risk appetite.

  • ISO 31000 principles structure strategic risk identification and treatment
  • Risk registers capture causes, events, consequences, controls and owners
  • Risk appetite statements set boundaries for strategic commitments
  • Bow-tie analysis links preventive controls, mitigations and critical events
  • Monte Carlo simulation interprets distributions rather than single-point forecasts
  • Risk-adjusted options compare expected returns with exposure concentrations

Participants can assess innovation opportunities and test the assumptions behind new business models.

  • Business Model Canvas maps value propositions, revenues and cost structures
  • Blue Ocean Strategy identifies noncustomers and value innovation opportunities
  • Design thinking separates customer evidence from internally held assumptions
  • Assumption tests prioritise desirability, feasibility and viability risks
  • Minimum viable experiments define learning metrics and stopping rules
  • Disruptive threats assessed through incumbent incentives and performance trajectories

Participants can prioritise businesses, initiatives and partnership choices within a strategic portfolio.

  • GE-McKinsey matrix compares business attractiveness and competitive strength
  • Portfolio roles distinguish core, growth, turnaround and exit businesses
  • Resource buckets protect strategic investments from annual budget competition
  • Synergy claims tested against integration costs, timing and ownership
  • Make-buy-partner decisions compare control, capability, speed and economics
  • Strategic sequencing stages initiatives around dependencies and scarce resources

Participants can translate strategic choices into initiatives, measures, governance and delivery plans.

  • Strategy maps link financial, customer, process and capability objectives
  • Balanced Scorecard measures translate strategic priorities into outcome indicators
  • OKRs distinguish ambitious objectives from measurable key results
  • Initiative charters define scope, sponsor, milestones, risks and benefits
  • Critical path analysis exposes timing dependencies and delivery constraints
  • Operating cadences establish review forums, escalation routes and decisions

Participants can communicate strategic recommendations in a form suited to executive decision forums.

  • Executive narratives frame the strategic choice, evidence and required commitment
  • Stakeholder maps identify sponsors, blockers, influencers and affected groups
  • Interest-based negotiation prepares trades, alternatives and walk-away positions
  • Decision memos present recommendation, alternatives, evidence and implementation implications
  • Board papers separate oversight decisions from management execution detail
  • Structured challenging conversations surface dissent without diluting accountability

Participants can establish decision governance that supports accountability, ethical conduct and timely action.

  • RAPID clarifies recommend, agree, perform, input and decide roles
  • Delegated authorities align decision thresholds with risk and accountability
  • Stage-gate governance tests evidence before releasing further investment
  • Audit trails document rationale, approvals, exceptions and review commitments
  • Ethical decision tests assess duties, consequences, rights and fairness
  • Conflict-of-interest controls protect strategic choices from undisclosed incentives

Participants can review strategic performance, test assumptions and reallocate resources based on evidence.

  • Leading and lagging indicators distinguish progress from realised outcomes
  • Strategy review agendas test assumptions, metrics, risks and resource shifts
  • After-action reviews compare expected results, actual results and causal factors
  • Variance analysis separates volume, price, mix and productivity effects
  • Benefits realisation plans assign measures, baselines, owners and review dates
  • Stop-start-continue decisions reallocate capital based on evidence

Participants can assess cross-border growth decisions and geopolitical exposures affecting strategic options.

  • Cross-border strategy assesses adaptation, aggregation and arbitrage choices
  • CAGE distance framework identifies cultural, administrative, geographic and economic barriers
  • Country screening combines market attractiveness, accessibility and institutional risk
  • Currency, supply-chain and geopolitical exposures shape strategic option design
  • Local partner assessment tests incentives, governance and complementary capabilities
  • International expansion cases compare entry modes and control requirements

Participants can assemble a clear, evidence-led recommendation for a live strategic decision.

  • Strategic briefs define decision owner, mandate, scope and deadline
  • Evidence plans identify data sources, interviews, analysis and validation gates
  • Assumption registers assign owners, confidence levels and test methods
  • Option scorecards consolidate strategic fit, economics, risk and feasibility
  • Recommendation logic connects diagnosis, choices, evidence and implementation
  • Executive presentation structures use SCQA narrative for decision clarity and action

Participants can build, review and present a complete Strategic Decision Proposal for executive consideration.

  • Capstone brief addresses a live strategic decision or realistic case
  • External, stakeholder and capability evidence supports a defensible strategic diagnosis
  • Alternative strategies receive financial, risk and scenario-based evaluation
  • Recommendation specifies choices, decision rights, implementation milestones and measures
  • Peer review tests logic, assumptions, trade-offs and presentation clarity
  • Executive presentation secures challenge, documents decisions and defines next actions

Exercises and examples are adapted to each cohort's sectors and roles.

What you take back to work

  1. Strategic Decision Proposal template
  2. Competitive and capability diagnostic
  3. Strategic option scorecard
  4. Investment and sensitivity model
  5. Scenario and contingency plan
  6. Strategy execution scorecard

Who should attend

  • Executive Directors — make enterprise choices involving investment, growth, risk and organisational direction
  • Business Unit Heads — set priorities and allocate resources across competing markets, products and initiatives
  • Strategy Directors — structure analysis and recommendations for senior decision forums
  • Programme and Transformation Directors — convert strategic intent into governed portfolios and measurable delivery
  • Finance Directors and Investment Leaders — assess strategic cases, capital requests and value assumptions
  • Public Sector and NGO Leaders — make policy, service and funding choices under stakeholder scrutiny

Skills and tools covered

Strategic diagnosisCompetitive analysisDecision analysisScenario planningCapital allocationExecutive communication

Tools and standards

PESTLE analysis, Porter's Five Forces, VRIO framework, Balanced Scorecard

How the course runs

Training methodology

The programme uses short faculty briefings to introduce methods, followed by case work, group analysis, decision simulations and structured peer challenge. Cases reflect investment, market-entry, transformation, public-service and competitive-response decisions. Participants apply each method to a live work issue or selected case, progressively building their Strategic Decision Proposal. Faculty feedback focuses on evidence quality, assumptions, financial logic, risk exposure, decision rights and communication. Application planning identifies actions, sponsors and review points for use after the course.

Requirements and prerequisites

Participants should have substantial management experience and current responsibility for budgets, business performance, programmes, policy, operations or major initiatives. They should be comfortable reading management accounts, discussing commercial trade-offs and contributing to senior management discussions. Prior exposure to strategic planning or project governance is useful but not essential. The course does not require an MBA, advanced mathematics, prior consulting experience, financial modelling software or specialist knowledge of a particular industry. Participants benefit most when they bring a current strategic decision or business challenge.

A typical training day

08:30 – 10:30First session
10:30 – 10:45Refreshment break
10:45 – 12:30Second session
12:30 – 13:30Lunch and networking
13:30 – 15:00Third session
15:00 – 15:15Refreshment break
15:15 – 16:30Workshop and daily review

Live online deliveries follow the same structure in East Africa Time, with shorter screen blocks and longer breaks.

What the fee includes

  • Instruction by a practitioner facilitator
  • Full course workbook and materials
  • Exercise files, templates and case studies
  • Refreshments and lunch on classroom deliveries
  • Certificate of completion
  • Post-course application plan

Frequently asked questions

Participants should have meaningful management responsibility and exposure to significant business, operational, policy or investment decisions. Prior strategy training is useful but not required; the course teaches the analytical methods used.

Bring a current strategic issue, investment choice, growth question, transformation priority or service challenge where possible. Participants may also bring non-confidential performance data, plans or business-case material to inform their Strategic Decision Proposal.

It is intended for executives, senior managers, strategy leaders, finance leaders and transformation professionals. It also suits public-sector and NGO leaders responsible for high-consequence policy, funding or service decisions.

Strategy formulation courses often focus on setting direction, while leadership courses focus on people and personal effectiveness. This course concentrates on the discipline of analysing, comparing, deciding, governing and communicating strategic choices.

Participants leave with a structured proposal and templates that can be used for investment papers, strategy reviews, portfolio decisions and executive recommendations. The methods also improve routine decisions by making assumptions, criteria, risks and accountabilities explicit.

Training days run from 08:30 to 16:30 and provide about 6.5 contact hours each. The first part builds diagnosis and option skills, the second deepens financial, risk, execution and governance methods, and the final module is a capstone presentation.

Questions about this course?

Ask about dates, fees, group bookings or running it for your team. Our training team replies by email.