Geopolitical Risk Management for Business Training Course

Participants can establish a practical taxonomy, ownership model and governance structure for geopolitical risk.

• Risk taxonomy covering political, security, economic, regulatory and societal drivers
• ISO 31000 principles applied to geopolitical risk governance
• Three Lines Model roles for management, assurance and oversight
• Risk owners assigned across operations, treasury, compliance and strategy
• Board committee mandates for material country and political exposures
• Escalation protocols based on trigger events and decision thresholds

Participants can assess country risk using structured indicators, evidence sources and comparative scoring.

• Country-risk dimensions covering governance, macroeconomics, security and legal enforceability
• PESTLE analysis structured around defined commercial exposure pathways
• Sovereign credit indicators interpreted alongside political stability measures
• World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators used with documented limitations
• Country scorecards separating inherent risk from control effectiveness
• Evidence ratings distinguishing verified data, judgement and unconfirmed reporting

Participants can map business dependencies and identify concentrations exposed to geopolitical disruption.

• Revenue exposure mapped by customer location, currency and contract jurisdiction
• Supplier dependency analysis using spend, substitutability and geographic concentration
• Critical infrastructure dependencies across ports, telecoms, energy and payment systems
• Legal entity maps linked to ownership, licenses and regulatory permissions
• Single points of failure identified within cross-border operating models
• Concentration metrics applied to suppliers, markets and financial counterparties

Participants can build a geopolitical risk register with clear causes, events, impacts and controls.

• Cause-event-impact statements written for material geopolitical risk scenarios
• Risk register fields aligned with COSO ERM reporting requirements
• Inherent and residual risk assessed using defined rating criteria
• Control descriptions tested for preventive, detective and corrective purpose
• Risk interdependencies recorded between geopolitical, financial and operational threats
• Action owners, due dates and assurance evidence documented

Participants can design indicators and monitoring routines that support timely geopolitical risk decisions.

• Key risk indicators linked to specific exposure and response thresholds
• Leading indicators distinguished from lagging operational loss measures
• Election calendars, legislative pipelines and sanctions notices monitored systematically
• Source validation protocols for intelligence providers, media and government releases
• Indicator dashboards showing trend, confidence level and accountable owner
• Monitoring cadence matched to volatility, exposure and decision urgency

Participants can construct plausible geopolitical scenarios and translate them into decision-relevant assumptions.

• Scenario axes selected from high-impact, high-uncertainty geopolitical drivers
• Three-scenario framework covering baseline, adverse and severe disruption cases
• Narratives connect political triggers with operational and financial consequences
• Assumption logs record sources, confidence ratings and challenge questions
• Signposts identify evidence supporting scenario movement or deterioration
• Management options tested against each scenario before disruption occurs

Participants can estimate financial effects of geopolitical scenarios using transparent business assumptions.

• Revenue-at-risk estimated from customer concentration, demand and market-access assumptions
• Cash-flow impacts modelled through delays, blocked funds and payment defaults
• Foreign-exchange sensitivity linked to capital controls and currency stress
• Working-capital pressures assessed from inventory buffers and extended transit times
• Asset impairment triggers considered after expropriation, conflict or sanctions
• Monte Carlo simulation used for variable disruption duration assumptions

Participants can identify sanctions and export-control exposures and define appropriate business controls.

• Sanctions regimes compared across UN, EU, UK and OFAC authorities
• Ownership and control tests applied to counterparties and beneficial owners
• Restricted-party screening positioned within transaction approval workflows
• Export-control classifications linked to products, software, technology and end-use
• Contract clauses address sanctions changes, termination rights and notification duties
• Escalation records preserve rationale for compliance and legal review

Participants can assess geopolitical vulnerability within customers, suppliers, agents and financial counterparties.

• Third-party segmentation combines criticality, jurisdiction and control exposure
• Beneficial ownership reviews identify political connections and sanctioned interests
• Counterparty due diligence assesses payment routes, banking relationships and licenses
• Distributor agreements tested for diversion, resale and end-user risks
• Supplier resilience reviews examine inventory, alternative sites and financial health
• Continuous monitoring triggers reassessment after material geopolitical developments

Participants can develop risk treatments for geopolitical disruptions to sourcing, logistics and trade routes.

• Supply network maps identify upstream materials, chokepoints and transit jurisdictions
• Trade-route exposure assessed for conflict, piracy, blockades and port restrictions
• Dual sourcing decisions compare resilience benefits against cost and quality
• Safety-stock policies model lead-time variability and critical component demand
• Incoterms allocation reviewed for transport, insurance and customs responsibilities
• Supplier contingency plans specify activation triggers and alternate capacity

Participants can plan treasury controls for disrupted banking, currency and cross-border payment conditions.

• Banking exposure mapped across correspondent banks, currencies and jurisdictions
• Payment continuity plans address blocked transfers, account freezes and settlement delays
• Capital controls assessed against dividend, debt-service and repatriation requirements
• Liquidity buffers sized using disruption scenarios and restricted cash assumptions
• Foreign-exchange hedging limits reviewed under convertibility and transfer restrictions
• Treasury escalation criteria connect market signals with funding decisions

Participants can evaluate insurance and contractual measures for selected geopolitical loss exposures.

• Political risk insurance covers expropriation, political violence and transfer restrictions
• Policy exclusions examined against conflict, sanctions and contractual dispute exposures
• Insured values reconciled with asset registers, debt obligations and revenue
• Force majeure clauses assessed for definitions, notice requirements and remedies
• Change-in-law provisions allocate regulatory costs and compliance responsibilities
• Dispute-resolution clauses compare arbitration seats and enforcement considerations

Participants can establish crisis decision arrangements for fast-moving geopolitical incidents.

• Crisis management structure defines incident commander, deputies and specialist advisers
• Decision logs capture facts, assumptions, approvals and unresolved issues
• Incident severity levels trigger predefined response teams and communication routes
• Staff safety decisions integrate travel security, evacuation and duty-of-care requirements
• Business continuity priorities set minimum service levels and recovery objectives
• After-action reviews convert incident findings into control improvements

Participants can prepare accurate communications for boards, employees, investors, customers and regulators.

• Board reports distinguish intelligence, assessment, decision and requested approvals
• Risk disclosures align material assumptions with financial reporting obligations
• Investor communications avoid unsupported forecasts and selective disclosure risks
• Employee messages provide practical guidance without disclosing sensitive intelligence
• Customer communications address continuity commitments, limitations and contractual notices
• Message approval workflows coordinate legal, compliance, security and executive functions

Participants can incorporate geopolitical risk appetite into investment, market and operating decisions.

• Risk appetite statements define acceptable country, sanctions and concentration exposure
• Tolerance thresholds specify actions for deteriorating risk indicators
• Market-entry decisions compare expected returns with scenario-adjusted downside exposure
• Investment committees challenge assumptions using pre-mortem analysis techniques
• Exit criteria define conditions for suspension, divestment or operational relocation
• Decision rights align executive authority with financial and reputational consequences

Participants can create reporting packs and assurance routines for ongoing management oversight.

• Executive dashboards combine exposure, indicators, scenarios and treatment progress
• Heat maps supplemented by velocity, connectivity and control-confidence ratings
• Risk reports identify decisions required rather than merely summarising events
• Assurance plans test data quality, control operation and reporting completeness
• Internal audit scope considers governance, monitoring and response effectiveness
• Management information calendars align reporting with board and committee meetings

Participants can adapt geopolitical risk methods to sector-specific business models and exposures.

• Banking cases assess sovereign exposure, correspondent banking and sanctions controls
• Energy cases examine resource nationalism, infrastructure security and offtake contracts
• Manufacturing cases analyse export controls, supplier concentration and port disruption
• Technology cases address data localisation, semiconductor restrictions and cyber interference
• Infrastructure cases consider concession risk, public procurement and community unrest
• Development finance cases assess political guarantees and project stakeholder conflict

Participants can prepare a phased plan for embedding geopolitical risk management within existing processes.

• Current-state assessment identifies process gaps, ownership conflicts and data constraints
• Target operating model assigns responsibilities across risk, intelligence and operations
• Implementation roadmap sequences quick wins, control upgrades and capability development
• Data requirements specify exposure records, external sources and retention responsibilities
• Training plans define role-specific awareness, escalation and decision-making requirements
• Performance measures track treatment completion, response speed and residual exposure

Participants can build, review and present a complete geopolitical risk management pack for a defined business exposure.

• Business context defines strategic objectives, jurisdictions and critical dependencies
• Country assessment documents evidence, scores, uncertainties and material exposure pathways
• Risk register connects causes, events, impacts, controls and accountable owners
• Scenarios quantify financial, operational and compliance implications under defined assumptions
• Response plan specifies indicators, thresholds, contingencies and decision authorities
• Executive presentation recommends actions, investment priorities and governance arrangements